Is the existing VC model disappearing?

The venture capital landscape is undergoing a fundamental shift. Traditionally, startups path to secure funding was clear: a small seed round, a significant Series A, followed by large-scale growth rounds ranging from tens to hundreds of millions of dollars to accelerate growth. However, the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into development, marketing, and operational processes is reshaping this trajectory, at a pace that raises an important question: are venture capital investments still as necessary as they once were? As an early-stage VC firm, we see hundreds of startups each year. Over the last year we’ve been noticing a growing number of companies that require significantly less funding to reach critical milestones. READ MORE

As DOGE Mauls Social Security, Profit-Hungry Private Equity Is Swooping In

The Social Security Administration (SSA), an irreplaceable lifeline for 73 million people, is only the latest venerable U.S. institution to be hit with a campaign of media falsehoods and startling internal sabotage efforts, all on the orders of Trump and the reactionary right. This has taken its most visibly outrageous form in the bureaucratic pillaging committed by Elon Musk’s self-proclaimed “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE), the widely loathed advisory body with a meme-derived name as juvenile as its staffers.

But this week, a still-more ominous threat appears to be circling. Bloomberg reports that three individuals representing private equity concerns — firms in an insidious financial industry intent on harvesting anything that can rake in a profit for the ultrarich — have now shown up, alongside DOGE, to meddle in the life-sustaining work of the SSA. READ MORE

Private Equity Outlook 2025: Is a Recovery Starting to Take Shape?

Few would contest that the past few years in private equity have been the industry’s most challenging period since the global financial crisis. The good news: Dealmaking appears to have turned the corner.

Investments and exits reflected both a strong desire among general partners (GPs) to get deals done and an improved macroeconomic environment highlighted by slowly ebbing central bank rates READ MORE

Private Equity Dominates Wealth Management M&A Activity

Private equity is the “new, prominent player” in the M&A industry, as it private equity-backed deals made up 89% of all transactions during 2024, up from 39% five years earlier, according to a report from Fidelity Investments that tracked and analyzed M&A deals from 2015 through 2024.

“Private equity continues to fuel our industry,” the report stated. “Private equity continues to be attracted to the appetite for financial advice, coupled with the steady stream of fee-generated cash flow and the opportunity to capitalize on the wealth transfer.” READ MORE

Private equity's lowered expectations

Private equity entered 2025 with high hopes for a deals boom, to be driven by decreased regulation and interest rate cuts.

The big picture: That second part is increasingly uncertain, which perhaps helps explain why U.S. private equity activity is 53% lower than at this time last year.

State of play: The Fed typically weighs both inflation and labor market conditions when deciding rate changes. Right now it's in a holding pattern. READ MORE

What VC Founders Need To Know About Exit Pressure

The venture capital (VC) world is buzzing with tension, and it’s not hard to see why. Many VCs are nearing the end of their investment cycles, and that means one thing: The clock is ticking.

For startups, especially those thriving in this challenging market, this dynamic can bring a mix of opportunities and challenges. Are you ready for exit conversations? How do you manage payback periods? And most importantly, how do you navigate this environment while keeping your company’s long-term vision intact? READ MORE

Empowering Fair Pay Using Compensation Data On VC And PE Firms

For nearly three decades, J. Thelander has pioneered providing comprehensive compensation data for the private capital markets, empowering informed decision-making and promoting fair pay. When Jody Thelander, founder and CEO, discovered a private company using her company’s compensation data without paying, she invoiced them, leading to a dispute with the venture capitalist who had shared the data. She stood her ground, and the VC ultimately paid for the unauthorized use.

J. Thelander’s data-driven insights and commitment to customer service have made it an indispensable resource for investors, private companies, and service providers navigating the evolving landscape of private capital markets. READ MORE

How Female Founders Can Access Capital In A Tight VC Funding Market

The venture capital industry is consolidating rapidly, with the number of active VC firms in the U.S. dropping from 8,315 in 2021 to 6,175 in 2024. As capital becomes concentrated among fewer players, underrepresented founders — particularly women-led startups — are facing even greater challenges when it comes to securing funding.

Even though women-led startups consistently show lower failure rates and higher returns, startups with only female founders still consistently receive less than 2% of VC funding. This is largely due to implicit biases and pattern recognition. Investors often favor founders who resemble past successes — typically male-led companies. Larger firms, in particular, prioritize established networks and lower-risk investments. That makes it even harder for entrepreneurs of diverse backgrounds to break into these circles. READ MORE

The New Venture Playbook: The Data Every Founder Needs To Know

The venture capital landscape in 2024 showed signs of recovery from the 2023 downturn, but remained significantly below the peak levels of 2021, according to new data from Carta. Peter Walker, Head of Insights at Carta, which serves 45,000 U.S. startups, reveals that total venture capital funding increased from $75 billion in 2023 to between $83 billion in 2024 – a modest improvement that suggests a gradual return to pre-pandemic startup funding levels. Despite the increase, funding remains well below 2021's peak levels, indicating a more measured funding environment. READ MORE

Startup founders are turning to ‘seed-strapping’ in a difficult funding environment

With the rise of the modern venture capital industry, it seemed as though the idea of creating a technology startup was inextricably tied to an expectation of raising institutional funding. But many founders today are challenging that assumption.

The practice of bootstrapping — or using one’s own resources to start, grow and scale a business — is not new. Famous companies such as Spanx, Craigslist and GoPro all started in the mid-1990s or early 2000s as ideas that were bootstrapped for years before they took off and became multi-million dollar enterprises. READ MORE

Hundreds Of Unicorns Haven’t Raised New Funding Since 2021

We are witnessing an unprecedented pile-up of unicorn startups that have not raised any money since 2021.

Currently, an estimated 517 global unicorns — or private companies valued at $1 billion or more  raised their last known round more than three years ago, per Crunchbase data. Such companies are particularly abundant in certain sectors, including enterprise software, fitness, commerce, AI and analytics. READ MORE

Far Fewer Seed-Stage Startups Are Graduating To Series A — Raising The Risk Of Failure

U.S. seed-stage funding was somewhat resilient in the venture funding downturn, due in part to the preponderance of larger seed rounds. Crunchbase data also shows that since 2023, companies have been staying longer at seed and raising more seed rounds.

That growth, however, conceals a lack of progression beyond seed funding. As companies take longer to get to Series A, there’s the potential for a much higher failure rate for seed-stage companies, which in turn could wipe out many seed-stage funds in years to come. READ MORE

Private capital's year of building momentum

2024 remained a challenging year for private equity fundraisings, investments and exits. Assets purchased in the era of cheap leverage and high multiples remained locked, with many auction processes failing to take off or being interrupted, while macro-economic factors, high borrowing costs and uncertainty in advance of UK and US elections reduced appetite for deal making. This was evident particularly in the first half of the year, with sponsors turning to alternative paths to liquidity such as continuation fund transactions (at record levels), use of NAV financings, dividend recapitalisations or secondaries transactions. 

Over the course of 2024, we saw the outlook for private markets steadily improve, giving us cause for optimism as we enter 2025. Inflation and interest rates stabilised, and banks gradually returned to the leveraged financing market alongside credit funds, reducing yields and the overall cost of capital. As momentum builds on the deal side, sponsors appear primed to return to sale processes to realise assets, potentially unlocking further investment activity. READ MORE

Private equity giants hit with SEC texting charges

A group of alternative investment firms, including most of the leading private equity managers, are the latest targets of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) efforts to combat financial industry firms’ use of private texting, which violates recordkeeping rules.

The SEC settled with 12 firms (nine investment advisors and three broker-dealers) — primarily firms in the alternative investment sector — which agreed to pay a combined US$63 million to resolve the regulator’s allegations that, since at least 2019, their employees used unapproved communications methods, such as private texting and other apps, for business communications that are required to be captured by their firms. READ MORE

Record Bankruptcies for Private Equity-Owned Companies

Private companies underwent a record number of bankruptcies last year.

Data from S&P Global Market Intelligence show that 110 U.S. companies backed by private equity and venture capital filed for bankruptcy in 2024, up more than 15 percent from the previous year — the highest annual total on record. By comparison, overall bankruptcies in the U.S — everything but companies owned by private equity and VC, reached 694, a year-over-year uptick of 9.3 percent. READ MORE

Private equity: The evolution of an industry

Since the advent of the modern private equity industry in the early 1980s, private equity houses have traditionally adopted the classic model of a buyout fund, raising capital from a club of large institutional investors to fund acquisitions and drive growth. This model has endured, notwithstanding the global expansion of the industry to accommodate a diverse range of firms and strategies.  

However, the playbook is now changing. Against the backdrop of continued geopolitical and economic turbulence – and pressure from LPs to transact – two trends which demonstrate that PE firms are searching for innovative ways to generate value have emerged.  READ MORE

Intel to spin off venture capital arm as chipmaker continues to restructure

Intel said Tuesday that it plans to spin off Intel Capital, its venture capital wing, into an independent firm, the latest in a series of structural changes announced by the chipmaker.

Turning Intel Capital, which has $5 billion in assets, into a standalone fund will allow it to raise money from outside investors, Intel said. Until now, the venture arm has been fully funded by Intel. READ MORE