When an investor passes on you, they will not tell you the real reason,” said Tom Blomfield, group partner at Y Combinator. “At seed stage, frankly, no one knows what’s going to fucking happen. The future is so uncertain. All they’re judging is the perceived quality of the founder. When they pass, what they’re thinking in their head is that this person is not impressive enough. Not formidable. Not smart enough. Not hardworking enough. Whatever it is, ‘I am not convinced this person is a winner.’ And they will never say that to you, because you would get upset. And then you would never want to pitch them again.” READ MORE
The Shrinking Series E: More Senior Startups Raise Smaller Follow-On Rounds
Typically, when a venture-backed startup raises a follow-on round, the size of the investment and the company’s valuation go up as well.
One expects a Series D round, for instance, to be larger than a Series C. Another bump usually occurs should the company secure a Series E. READ MORE
IPO Market Insiders ‘Cautiously Optimistic’ That Current Trickle Will Get Stronger
With Microsoft-backed data security firm Rubrik set to enter the public market this week, talk about the rejuvenated IPO market has returned as many wonder who may be next, and when.
Rubrik is set to join the likes of chip startup Astera Labs, Walmart-backed Ibotta and online forum host Reddit as one of the bigger IPOs so far this year. Those IPOs came after last year’s second-half offerings by Arm Holdings, Instacart and Klaviyo helped thaw an IPO pipeline that had been frozen for nearly two years. READ MORE
More M&A players hold back stay-bonus ‘dry powder
While a growing appetite for mergers and acquisitions appears to be afoot, there are signs some buyers are nonetheless more guarded when it comes to tapping their retention bonus budgets for payouts designed to keep target companies’ top executives and employees in their seats. READ MORE
The Mixed State Of Startup Funding In 2024
Startup investors kept a tight hold on their wallets in the first quarter of 2024, Crunchbase data shows. There were big exceptions — some AI, healthcare, energy and robotics startups, among others, received massive investments — but overall the tone was cautious as the year got started.
To break it down further, let’s look at 11 charts based on recent Crunchbase data that show the state of the startup world in early 2024. READ MORE
Raising Private Capital: Tips For Startups In Today's Market
Private capital activity has increased in recent years. For startups, raising private capital offers financial support for development and innovation.
Our firm's capital raises have included obtaining capital through funds and direct investment. Drawing from that experience, here is a look at the current private capital landscape and strategies for successfully raising capital. READ MORE
New Funds Target Out-Of-Favor Startup Sectors
Startups in sectors that saw steep funding declines may be getting fresh attention from investors, courtesy of new industry-focused funds that closed this year.
In areas from consumer products to apps to gaming, U.S. venture firms have raised fresh capital to invest in industries where funding levels remain drastically below peak. This, along with a modest uptick in first-quarter venture investment, indicates some sectors may have hit a cyclical low last year and should be heading higher. READ MORE
How To Fundraise In This Challenging Venture Capital Era
With VC firms in the U.S. spending only half of the $435 billion funds raised between 2020 and 2022, dry powder reserves have reached a record high. According to Pitchbook and the Financial Times, $311 billion still awaits deployment.
Meanwhile, terms like "unicorpse" are being thrown around as high-growth companies are running out of money. READ MORE
How To Catch A Unicorn In The Ed Tech Industry
In the world of venture capital and business start-ups, the greatest measure of success is a company that is valued at more than $1 billion and earns over $100 million annually. These businesses are called “unicorns,” and according to the analytics firm CB Insights there are more than 1,200 such companies operating in the U.S. today, over 500 of which were created in the past decade. So why is it that despite significant financial backing over the same decade – via venture capital and government funding – very few educational technology companies have reached unicorn status? Let me count the ways. READ MORE
Dear venture capitalists: You're blowing it
Dear venture capitalists,
I've been covering your industry for over two decades, through booms and busts and back again. If there is to be another two decades, you'd better change your behavior. And quick.
The basic VC model is cyclical. Raise money, invest that money, exit via IPOs or strategic sales, and then use those exits to raise more money. READ MORE
Private equity’s latest trade: The financial futures of millions of retirees
A brisk new trade in the financial futures of millions of retirees is unnerving some US workers, regulators, and politicians who worry that private equity firms will invest corporate pensions recklessly.
Recent lawsuits challenging AT&T, Lockheed, and Alcoa’s plans to turn their pensions over to Athene, which is owned by Apollo, casts a broader spotlight on private equity’s push into new corners of finance. Sen. Sherrod Brown has held hearings, cheered on by the Teamsters, and the Labor Department is weighing whether to require companies to at least consider whether an insurance business is owned by private equity before turning over their pensions. READ MORE
Private equity’s latest trick is to buy and hold
Warren Buffett famously said that when he owns outstanding businesses with outstanding management teams, his favourite holding period is “forever”. Fix-and-flip private equity bosses have come round to his way of thinking. READ MORE
The inequity method of accounting
The fundamental bargain of M&A seems pretty simple. At the closing of a deal, the buyer pays the seller, and gets a business in return.
It hasn’t been so straightforward for the family who agreed in 2022 to sell its California supermarket Save Mart to the private equity firm Kingswood Capital Management, which valued the grocery chain at $245mn. READ MORE
Q1 2024 AgTech Venture Capital Investment and Exit Round Up
Last quarter, our analysis of Crunchbase data shows 178 AgTech startups raised a total of $1.3B. This represents a 1% increase in funding and a 5% increase in deals from Q4 2023. There were three AgTech exits last quarter, all through M&A transactions. READ MORE
How Can VCs Create Community At A Time Of Division?
Today’s social divisions are as palpable as ever, and on the receiving end are often people from marginalized communities, immigrants and refugees.
As investors, we know many founders who have recently arrived to the U.S. from countries suffering humanitarian crises, or whose teams are stuck in war zones. The challenges they face in everyday life — let alone finding success as an entrepreneur — are unimaginable to many. READ MORE
VC fund returns uptick signals sunnier skies in 2024
US venture fund returns remain negative but are trending up once again, a hopeful sign for a struggling fundraising market after a sustained period of portfolio markdowns.
One-year rolling IRR bottomed out in Q4 2022 at -17.9% before rising to -9.1% in Q2 2023, according to the latest PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor. READ MORE
Make Decisions with a VC Mindset
Venture investors are the hidden hand behind the most innovative companies surrounding us. According to research conducted by one of us (Ilya), venture capitalists were causally responsible for the launch of one-fifth of the 300 largest U.S. public companies in existence today. They have played an essential role in unlocking the power of the internet, the mobile revolution, and now artificial intelligence in all its forms. Apple, Google, Moderna, Netflix, Airbnb, OpenAI, Salesforce, Tesla, Uber, and Zoom—these firms disrupted entire industries despite initially having fewer resources and less support and experience than their mature, successful, cash-rich competitors. All these businesses could theoretically have emerged from within an established company—but they didn’t. Instead, they were financed and shaped by VCs. Indeed, we estimate that three-quarters of the largest U.S. companies founded in the past 50 years would not have existed or achieved their current scale without VC support. READ MORE
The Data-Driven Investor Of Today And Tomorrow
The term "data-driven investor" might sound pedestrian—it’s hard to point to an industry that hasn’t become more data-driven over the past two decades. But in recent years, the private capital industry’s adoption of data-driven insights represents a very real and material shift in how firms are now operating.
As a proxy, one can look at the hedge fund industry for a historic example of this strategic shift. Up until the 1980s, hedge funds were mostly run by Wall Street veterans who used their intuition and connections to make investment decisions. But as more data became available, a new breed of funds emerged that combined quantitative models with human judgment to drive better decisions and reduce cognitive biases. Venture capital and private equity are at a similar inflection point right now. READ MORE
Secondaries Had a Big 2023. This Year Could Be Bigger.
Last year was a big one for the secondary market. The party isn’t over yet though: Industry experts predict that 2024 will be another record year for the exit strategy.
Between $110 billion and $115 billion of stakes in private funds changed hands in 2023, depending on who you ask. According to a recent secondaries report from BlackRock, this is the second-highest year of closed transaction volume on record. READ MORE
Private-Equity Backed IPOs Gather Steam in 2024
Momentum has grown behind private-equity backed initial public offerings and, as inflation falls and central banks pivot toward reducing rates, two-thirds of private equity firms predict a rise in IPO-exit activity this year, according to EY's 1Q 2024 IPO trend report.
Five of the around 10 private equity-backed listings in the first three months of the year were among the quarter's top 10 IPOs in terms of proceeds or funds raised and include Germany's Douglas and BrightSpring Health Services in the U.S., the report says. READ MORE